Economics & Risk Analysis of Upstream Projects

EAR-EN-P

Who should attend?

  • To provide participants with an in-depth understanding of the tools used in economic analysis and decision-making tools within the upstream industry.
Public :
  • Engineers, economists and project managers who need to extend their understanding of the specific methods used to evaluate Exploration-Production projects.

Level :Skilled

Prerequisite :
  • Basic knowledge of Microsoft Excel.

Course Content

  • ECONOMIC & CONTRACTUAL FRAMEWORK OF E&P - Duration : 1 Day

      • Various phases of Exploration-Production.
      • Technical cost, evolution of the economic environment.
      • Petroleum Exploration and Production contracts.
      • Concessions, production sharing contracts, service contracts.
      • Sharing of the economic rent, economic flexibility in petroleum contracts.
      • Economic clauses.
  • INVESTMENT PROFITABILITY STUDIES - Duration : 2 Days

      • Cost of capital and discount rate, value creation.
      • Economic criteria for project evaluation: net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), payback period, etc.
      • Global profitability analysis, the impact of taxation and inflation on economic indicators.
      • Specific method to Exploration and Production: shadow interest.
      • Case studies: development of an oil field (under concession and production sharing agreements).
      • Introduction to risk analysis and risk discount rate: sensitivity analysis, Spider and Tornado diagrams.
      • Impact of “ringfencing” and the state participation in the decision-making process.
  • IMPACT OF FINANCING ON PROJECT ECONOMICS - Duration : 1 Day

      • Financing Oil & Gas projects, project finance and B.O.T. structures.
      • Various financing plans and debt repayment.
      • Analysis of equity cash flows, return on equity capital, financial leverage.
      • Case studies: development of an oil field under concession with specific financing.
  • RISK ANALYSIS OF E&P PROJECTS - Duration : 1 Day

      • Probability of success, analysis of economic risk in oil exploration.
      • Evaluation of exploration projects and decision trees.
      • Farm in/Farm out.
      • Risked and unrisked economics.
      • Case study: economic study of an oil project including Min, Mode and Max scenarios.
      • Evaluation of development projects.
      • Economic risk associated with a marginal development.
      • Decision trees and subjective probabilities, decision theory.

Learning Objectives

  • Attendees will be able to implement the following skills:
  • Carry out investment profitability studies including all aspects of complex fiscal terms, inflation, and financing,
  • Analyze the economic results and carry out sensitivity analysis,
  • Incorporate the geological risk and uncertainty in the economic evaluation of Exploration & Production projects,
  • Develop advanced computer models for the study of Oil & Gas development projects.

Ways & Means

  • Case studies simulated on computers:
  • Development of an oil field (under concession and production sharing agreements).
  • Impact of “ringfencing” and the state participation in the decision-making process.
  • Valuation of a decision to acquire information (seismic or drilling).
  • Pricing of an exploration bloc.

Learning assessment

  • Participants will be evaluated during the training through quizzes and case studies.

More

Coordinator :IFP Training instructors, with expertise in the field and trained in modern teaching methods adapted to the specific needs of learners from the professional world.

To French entities : IFP Training is referenced to DataDock ; you may contact your OPCO about potential funding. Please contact our disabled persons referent to check the accessibility of this training program : referent.handicap@ifptraining.com